REMNANTS OF PETER
ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Peter Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021
1100 PM AST Wed Sep 22 2021
...DEPRESSION PETERS OUT...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON PETER...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 67.0W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Peter were located near
latitude 22.1 North, longitude 67.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). The remnants are
expected to move generally northward over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast over the next couple of days.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Peter will affect the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and portions of the Bahamas during the
next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on the remnants of
Peter can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN
REMNANTS OF
Location:
22.1N
-67W
Maximum Sustained Winds:
30 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure:
1008 mb
Moving:
NNW OR 335 DEGREES at
5 MPH
THE CENTER OF
REMNANTS OF PETER IS:
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
FIVE DAY TRACK - NHC
FLOATER SATELLITE - NOAA
LIKELY ARRIVAL OF 34 KT+ WINDS - NHC
WILMINGTON, NC RADAR - NWS
NHC
ADVISORIES
000
WTNT31 KNHC 062032
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Alex Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022
500 PM AST Mon Jun 06 2022
...ALEX BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 60.6W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Alex
was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 60.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving quickly toward the east-northeast
near 31 mph (50 km/h). Acceleration toward the east-northeast is
expected tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast tonight. Alex is forecast to
merge with another non-tropical low on Tuesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
000
WTNT41 KNHC 062033
TCDAT1
Post-Tropical Cyclone Alex Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022
500 PM AST Mon Jun 06 2022
Alex has not produced any deep convection near its center since last
night. It's surface circulation has also become elongated and
ill-defined. Based on these factors, Alex is now classified as
post-tropical and this will be the last advisory. The initial
intensity is set at 50 kt, assuming a little weakening has occurred
since this morning, though this is uncertain due to a lack of recent
ASCAT or surface observations.
Alex is moving quickly toward the east-northeast. Another
non-tropical low or trough is forecast to develop to the northeast
of Alex tonight. While there is quite a bit of variability in the
details, all global models forecast that Alex and the other low
will merge within the next 24 h or so, so the NHC forecast now
shows dissipation at that time. The baroclinic system that results
from that merger is expected to strengthen and could produce
hurricane-force winds over the north Atlantic by midweek. For more
information, please see forecasts from the National Weather Service
Ocean Prediction Center under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/2100Z 35.5N 60.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 07/0600Z 37.6N 55.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
000
WTNT21 KNHC 062032
TCMAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022
2100 UTC MON JUN 06 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 60.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 27 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 270SE 360SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 60.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 62.2W
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 37.6N 55.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 170SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N 60.6W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
000
FONT11 KNHC 062032
PWSAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022
2100 UTC MON JUN 06 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
000 WTNT81 KNHC 042035 TCVAT1 ONE WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 435 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2022 .POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. FLZ154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-042145- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 435 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2022 $$ ATTN...WFO...MLB...
000
WTCA41 TJSJ 051141 RRA
TCPSP1
BOLETIN
Advertencia de Tormenta Tropical Alex Numero 11
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL AL012022
Traduccion por el SNM San Juan PR
500 AM EDT domingo 5 de junio de 2022
...LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALEX SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE...
...SE ESPERA QUE SE ACERQUE A BERMUDA EL LUNES EN LA TARDE...
RESUMEN DE LAS 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
----------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...29.1N 76.3O
CERCA DE 270 MI...435 KM NE DE FT PIERCE FLORIDA
CERCA DE 715 MI...1155 KM OSO DE BERMUDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 55 GRADOS A 22 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MB...29.39 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
El Servicio Meteorologico de Bermuda ha actualizado la Vigilancia de Tormenta
Tropical a un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical para la isla de Bermuda.
RESUMEN DE LAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
Una Aviso de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Bermuda
Un Aviso de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de
tormenta tropical se pueden esperar en algun lugar dentro del area bajo
aviso, en este caso dentro de 6 horas.
Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que condiciones de
tormenta tropical son posibles en algun lugar dentro del area bajo
vigilancia.
Para informacion especifica sobre la tormenta para su area, favor de monitorear
los productos emitidos por su servicio meteorologico nacional.
DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS
----------------------
A las 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical Alex estaba localizado
cerca de latitud 29.1 norte, longitud 76.3 oeste. Alex se esta moviendo
hacia el noreste cerca de 22 mph (35 km/h), y este movimiento general se espera
que continue con mayor mayor aceleracion hacia el noreste en las proximas 12-24 hours.
Se espera un giro gradual hacia el este-noreste y este entre el lunes y el martes.
En la trayectoria pronosticada, se espera que la tormenta tropical pase cerca
o al norte de Bermuda el lunes.
Los vientos sostenidos maximos permanecen cerca de los 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Cierto fortalecimiento es posible hoy, seguido por un debilitamiento
comenzando el lunes.
Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hacia afuera hasta 205 millas
(335 km) del centro, mayormente en el cuadrante sureste.
La presion central minima estimada es de 995 mb (29.39 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
----------------------
Mensajes clave para la Tormenta Tropical Alex que puede encontrarse
en la Discusion de Ciclon Tropical bajo el encabezado de AWIPS MIATCDAT1,
encabezado de WMO WTNT41, y en
la red en hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages.
LLUVIA: Se espera que las lluvias fuertes por la Tormenta Tropical Alex traigan
de 2 a 3 pulgadas o 50 a 75 mm de lluvia a traves de Bermuda hasta el lunes.
VIENTO: Se esperan condiciones de tormenta tropical en la isla de Bermuda comenzando
el lunes.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------
Proxima advertencia intermedio a las 800 AM EDT.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM EDT.
$$
Pronosticador Papin/Blake
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UPTON, NY
BOSTON, MA
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